Dollar Edges Up On Risk-aversion
The US dollar drifted higher against its major rivals on Wednesday in Asia as traders trimmed positions in risk-currencies and sought the perceived safe-havens ahead of key remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke at the Kansas City Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium on Friday.
Risk-currencies gained momentum in the previous session as the market started to speculate some concrete actions from the ECB after its President Mario Draghi chose to stay away from this week's annual Jackson Hole Symposium in Wyoming "due to heavy workload foreseen for the next few days".
The European Central Bank will hold its next meeting in Frankfurt on September 6 and the market is awaiting hints on the central bank's proposed bond-buying program, which could help ease borrowing costs faced by euro members such as Italy and Spain.
Traders have begun pricing in an ECB move no later than September, as the debt crisis plaguing the euro area precipitates and Spain is speculated to seek a full fledged bailout.
Successful bill auction in Spain lifted the euro yesterday, with Spanish treasury selling EUR 3.6 billion of bills, exceeding it's maximum target of EUR 3.5 billion with a sharp fall in yield.
Yield on 3-month bills dropped to 0.946 percent, down from 2.434 percent in July. Yield on 6-month bills fell to 2.026 percent, down from 3.691 percent last month.
The dollar inched higher to 0.9570 against the Swiss franc, bouncing back from yesterday's multi-day low of 0.9550. Although the dollar-franc pair shows some bullish appeal intra-day, its medium term bias is quite bearish as it is heading towards the key 0.95 demand zone.
The greenback also reached as low as 1.2554 against the euro before leveling off in late Asian deals Wednesday. With the RSI and the 50-day SMA staying bullish, the near-term outlook for the dollar is pointing towards the downside with 1.26 seen as the probable support level.
The dollar also ticked higher to 1.5816 against the pound from its recent low of 1.5858. The cable lacks a clear direction in the near-term but seen a possible re-test of the 1.59 level in longer-time frames and any bearish bias could revert it to below the 1.58 level.
The US currency edged higher to 78.64 against the yen on Wednesday morning in Asia and the pair hovered around the 78.60 area in late trading. If the dollar-yen pair strengthens further, 78.85 is seen as the next likely resistance level in the near-term.
Looking ahead, French business confidence indicator, Swiss KOF leading indicator, Italian consumer confidence, German CPI-all for August and Italian retail sales for June are expected to garner market attention in the European session.
The U.S. GDP for the second quarter, pending home sales for July and the Federal Reserve's Beige book economic survey are the key data to watch in the North American session.
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