Eur Gains are Likely to be Limited

Eur Gains are Likely to be Limited


Quotes from RBS:
-The decline in the Spain CDS rate and rise in risk appetite (measured by the S&P500 index) are supportive of EUR/USD gains, in our view. Offsetting in our STFV framework has been a continued narrowing of the EZ-US 5-year swap spread that has fallen to 6bp, the narrowest EZ rate advantage since late August 2010.
-Accordingly, while EUR/USD is likely to continue to squeeze higher during the run-up to the early-September ECB meeting, those gains are likely to be limited, and we remain oriented to re-establishing short EUR/USD exposure, but from higher levels.


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