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 Aud/usd Highly Vulnerable to Exogenous Shocks

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Join date : 2012-01-25

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PostSubject: Aud/usd Highly Vulnerable to Exogenous Shocks   Aud/usd Highly Vulnerable to Exogenous Shocks Icon_minitimeFri Jun 08, 2012 1:08 pm

Aud/usd Highly Vulnerable to Exogenous Shocks


Quotes from Standard Chartered:
-We recently revised our AUD-USD forecasts sharply lower into 2013, and our new RBA rate profile broadly reflects that FX view. For end-Q2, Q3 and Q4-2012, we are forecasting 0.96, 0.96 and 0.99. Thereafter, for end-Q1-2013 through end-2013, we expect a gradually upward-sloping profile - 1.01, 1.03, 1.05 and 1.07 - in line with broader trends.
-Looking at the rest of 2012, AUD-USD remains a higher-beta currency within the G10 space, and as such, it is highly vulnerable to exogenous shocks - both from a possible Greek exit from the euro area and from China's slowdown. In addition, Australia is undergoing a domestic slowdown as the housing market slump affects consumption.


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